posted at 6:21 pm on July 12, 2012 by Allahpundit
The campaigns’ internal polls are, unsurprisingly, contradictory. Dewhurst’s has him up eight points, Cruz’s has him up nine. We need an impartial pollster (impartial as regards this race, at least) to settle this.
This race is one of the most stark examples of the Tea Party movement propelling a candidate that we’ve seen to date. 40% of voters identify themselves as members of that movement and Cruz has a 71-26 advantage with them. Dewhurst leads 57-34 with non-Tea Partiers, and they are 50% of the electorate, but it’s not nearly enough to drown out Cruz’s advantage with that group.
Texas is also an exceptionally rare state where Hispanic voters might be the difference maker in a Republican primary. Cruz has a 78-19 advantage with them…
The large name recognition advantage Dewhurst has enjoyed throughout the campaign has pretty much disappeared. 85% of runoff voters have an opinion about him, and Cruz is not far behind at 81%. We frequently found in our earlier polling that Cruz was winning with voters who knew him, but that he was losing overall because of the name recognition gap. That’s not a problem anymore. Cruz’s net favorability of +31 (56/25) is better than Dewhurst’s +19 (52/33). Since our final pre primary poll Cruz’s net fav has improved by 25 points, while Dewhurst’s has declined by 17.
July 13, 2012 | Categories: 2012 Election, America's Freedoms, Class Warfare, Cloward and Piven Strategy, Corruption, Corruption in Government, Deficit, Economic Security, Economic Terrorism, Election 2012, Elections Politics, Electorate, Government, Liberals Big Spending and Taxes, Manufactured Crisis, National Debt, National Security, New Media News, Political Contests, Politically Intentioned Crisis, Politics, POTUS Deception, POTUS Elibility Issue, Progressives pushing for Marxism/Socialism, The Economy, Treason, Undermining Constitution | Tags: current-events, David Dewhurst, hispanic republicans, Hispanic voters, politics, PPP, republican, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Leave A Comment »
When people look back to see the day that Hope and Change officially expired, this could be the day selected. Democratic-leaning pollster PPP surveyed likely voters in Illinois and Pennsylvania to determine the mood of the electorate and the value of the Obama endorsement in the upcoming midterms. They conclude that Obama’s coattails have officially shriveled into box-office poison:
Illinois voters say they would be negatively influenced if a candidate was endorsed by Barack Obama. And if his support isn’t an asset in his home state it’s hard to imagine where it is.
40% of voters in the state say they’d be less likely to support an Obama endorsed candidate to only 26% who say it would be an asset. The reality at this point is that Obama turns Republican voters off to a much greater extent than he excites Democrats. That’s reflected in the fact that 83% of Republicans say an Obama endorsement would be a negative with them while only 49% of Democrats say it would be a positive. Independents also respond negatively by a 38/19 margin.
The numbers on an Obama endorsement are perhaps more relevant with undecided voters. Among those who have not yet made up their minds in the Senate race 21% say an Obama endorsement would resonate positively with them while 33% say it would be a turnoff.
August 19, 2010 | Categories: Americans Reject Sharia and Islamic Supremacism, Constitution, Corruption in Government, Elections Politics, Government Regulations, Jobs, Media Corruption, Most Americans Reject Socialism, National Security, New Media News, Politics, Radical Liberal Progressive Left, TEA Taxed Enough Already, The Economy | Tags: GOP generic-ballot, Illinois, Jim Geragty, MA, NJ, Obama endorsement hurts (D) candidates, obama is a bad omen to his party, Pennsylvania, PPP, the Chicago Machine, VA | Leave A Comment »